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Card Counting
“More Deception?”

The Proof Is In the Cards 

The fact that Dr. Edward Thorp sold over 500,000 copies of his book “Beat The Dealer” was a clear message to us that people really “bought into” what Thorp believed.  They bought into it so much, casinos became paranoid that he was right, and they would lose, so they started changing the rules of the game, limiting the options the players had.  This did not work.  It turned players off, forcing the casinos to change back.  That is how the story is told, but we have always wondered the truth about that too.  After all, why would the casinos turn back if it was actually going to help them lose.

The casinos have definitely made it clear, even through rumor, that they dislike card counters.  If the casinos dislike something, it can only be because it hurts their bottom line.  That is after all the only thing a casino cares about.  They don’t send flowers to your funeral, but they will send you free nights stays if you spend enough, even after you are dead.  Sad, but true.  You are nothing more than a number in a database, and the more you have lost over the years, the more they like your number.  So, it makes sense, that casinos hated card counters because they could take serious money from them.  Sounds logical right?  That is the reason right?  Are you sure?  Right about now, you sense something is up, because I am smiling and shaking my head from side to side. 

Everyone knows that casinos hate Card Counters.  We have read it everywhere; we’ve read about disguising yourself, and about all these tips you need to follow, so you don’t get caught.  We have heard stories that say it is illegal, and is often debated, even in front of a judge.   

Did you know in 2003, that Microsoft settled a class action lawsuit with the State of California for violating antitrust and unfair competition laws?  They paid $1.1 billion dollars in this settlement, and two-thirds of that amount went to needy public schools in the form of Microsoft software, and vouchers so they could purchase equipment.  Bill Gates is Bill Gates for a reason.  Not too bad, to have the youth in California learning and being educated on Microsoft software.  That should come in handy in the future sales when those very same kids buy computers and such of their own…

Can it be argued that card counting made the casinos billions of dollars?  We know millions of people tried their luck card counting and were unsuccessful in their efforts.  Maybe having a court case, even one you know you can’t win, can help publicize your product, getting you such massive amounts of attention that the small damages from your lost court case would come back to you 100 fold in the next 50 years (or maybe a 100 million fold).  Is it possible that the casinos’ court battles involving illegal card counting were just a ploy?  Let’s be honest. These cases made every newspaper in North America.  Hell, some people still type about them (lmao).  Card counting is a skill and the casinos can’t stop you.  Those poor casinos, all upset that they lost the court case.  All this time, sending a message to 300 million people that the game can be beaten, and anyone can go and do it freely.  “Bad” publicity is still free publicity, folks.

Capitalizing At Your Expense 

Here is an entire industry in supposed panic mode.  The casinos were like a wounded animal being tossed in the middle of a piranha-infested river.  The more they splashed around, the more attention they were getting.  Isn’t that weird?  The person who denies what everyone else believes, appears to be lying, or hiding something.  It causes people to doubt what is true, and try to find out the truth.  It certainly helped when every single person was writing their own book, describing how much they won.  Players were buying these books as fast as casinos were adding blackjack tables to the casino floor. 

We all still believe card-counting works.  Everyone but us believes Thorp’s theories; for example, that when the deck is rich in face cards, it is to the player’s advantage.  It is a very simple concept, and it turned the entire gaming industry on its head, even to this day.  Thorp came up with mathematical theories which clearly showed, to him, that the 5 was the worst card for the player and a deck full of 5’s would be disastrous.  A deck with lots of face cards, was to the player’s advantage, and in this situation, the player would have a better chance to win, so he should bet more money. 

Thorp developed the Hi-Lo count, or the 10 count.  All you had to do was count the four Face cards, against the smaller cards.  When more face cards remained in the deck, this was a great time for you to increase your bet.  Who besides us would argue with that?

Example For Counting These Cards, at This Value: 

Ten, Jack, Queen and King

Minus 1
3,4,5,6   Plus 1

 

Cards come out of the Shoe: 

Cards Dealt 3 7 8 10 10 4 6 2 Ace 5 10
Count Value +1 None None --1 --1 +1 +1 None None +1 --1
Running Count +1 +1 +1 Even --1 Even +1 +1 +1 +2 +1

 

That is a very simple counting example.  You could add in other cards, and even give different weights to different cards, like the Ace as +2 and the Five as –2.  There have been many variations of counting since Thorp, and some vary slightly, but they all say the same thing.  Faces are the good cards for the players, and the low ones are bad.  More faces means good, happy smiling times at the tables. 

Reading and Research

MCB Duplin was a firm believer in all this.  Obviously it worked, because the casinos were terrified of it, and look at all the material written on this...staggering.  This had to be the way to win, we knew that, because there could be no way that so many people, so many books, could all be wrong.  We read and we read, and did so much research that we were soon pros at the game blackjack.  Well, almost pros.  There was only one problem.  No matter what we did, we lost.  Not something we are proud to admit, but we got our asses kicked.  We tried so damn hard.  We did everything right.  We read, paid attention and became great at what we were doing. 

We got so good, that I could count down an entire deck of 52 cards in less then 20 seconds.  Can you believe that?  The only reason it took so long was my fingers couldn’t flip through the cards quick enough.  I would do this at stags, and my friends were shocked.  I’ll be honest, it helped if it was an even count, where I was counting the cards in such a way that the count would always be zero at the end.  This being the case, the cool thing is, you don’t even have to pay attention at all.  I could even do it with my eyes closed. 

For most people, this kind of hard work made them rich.  We read all kinds of books and each author made a killing from the casinos.  Still, as hard as we tried…nothing.  Man, was our book going to suck.  We’d have the only blackjack book showing people how to lose, and lose quickly.  With our luck, we could plagiarize someone else’s book, word for word, page for page in our book, and our readers would still lose.  Can you believe that?  Maybe we just had no luck!  Our book just didn’t promise to be a big seller. 

Wait A Minute… 

I have always found it fascinating how day by day nothing seems to change until all of a sudden, when you least expect it, everything is different.  It was Martin Luther King Jr. who said, “The ultimate measure of a man is not where he stands in moments of comfort and convenience, but where he stands at times of challenge and controversy.”  It was now our firm belief that Thorp is wrong.  We were not the kind of people to ever disrespect greatness, but we were the kind of people who believed in ourselves.  If Thorp was right, the worst that we would do would be to prove it.  We had had enough of taking other people’s words for something that we saw in a different light.

All of a sudden, everything, logically, made no sense.  We had found something we had a feeling was true, but were too blinded to see the obvious.  Through all our hard work, we proved that the game was played around the dealers up card.  Anyone who has ever played knows this.  That is why you might hit a Hard 14 one hand, and stay on a Hard 12 the next.  We didn’t make any decisions whatsoever without first looking to see what the dealer’s up card was.  That was the most important card, nothing else. 

We immediately went through years of statistics.  We were right.  Every single time the dealer flipped a face card as their up card, we were getting killed, badly, over 60% of the time.  We knew that already, because every time we played, we groaned when the dealer flipped up a face card as their starting card.  We also knew that we didn’t lose 60% of the overall game, although many nights it seemed that way, so where were we getting some of our wins back?  We already knew this answer too, but we went back through 1,000’s of hands and we found that when the dealer started with a 3,4,5,6, we actually were winning about 60% of the time.  Wow. 

It was all starting to make sense to us, and that logically, Thorp was wrong.  Regardless of the count, we were getting killed when the dealer started with a face card, and winning when the dealer started with a low card.  We were ecstatic when the dealer started low…those are the hands we could split and double down the most on, producing great things for us. 

Now we put it all together.  If there were more face cards in the deck, the dealer had a better mathematical chance to start with one as their up card, at which time, according to Thorp, we should make a larger bet.  The problem is we lose 60% of the time the dealer starts with a face.  Furthermore, by the dealer starting with a face card, we seldom doubled or split, which I think we’ve established are good things for us.   

Even if the dealer didn’t start with a face, if their were more in the deck, we had a better chance of getting one, and that meant we’d never double, or even split, with a face in our hand.  It also meant, since we played first, if we had to draw, we’d bust more with faces hitting our stiff hands. 

We knew that if the deck was full of low cards, the Dealer had a better mathematical chance to start with one as the up card.  That being the case, we never busted, doubled down often, and split more than the ice in April (best time to fish!).  Unfortunately, this was occurring when we had the small bet out there.  Damn it anyhow. 

So What Is Right?   

Maybe our book had a chance after all!  We couldn’t write a book though, that would only be doing more of what we hated to begin with…that being confusing the issue.  We had to answer these questions, but with a computer program.  This wouldn’t be just any program, but the best blackjack program ever made.  It would have every single answer, for all these questions, and laid out in a way, so that anyone could answer all these questions for themselves. 

We spent 4 years making the Playing 21 Program.  Its findings have, once again, turned the blackjack industry on its head.  We set up the program to allow you to count any way you decided, placing different counting weights on the different cards, rendering over 25 billion different ways to count.  We allowed you to place any wager, at any count, so you could vary your betting.  We came up with Reports that clearly showed how you did at each and every single count, collectively in the Win/Loss Report, and for each and every single hand you could ever receive in the Hand Breakdown vs. Dealers Up Card.  Allowing you to play any hand at any count, any way you choose, would simply allow you to see everything you needed in your search for answers.  

Bigger Than Card Counting! 

In making the Playing 21 Program the best, we developed something we call the Hand Breakdown vs. Dealers Up Card.  This little feature was the single most amazing thing ever done for the game blackjack…or should we say its players?  This definitely showed the player how to master his game for every starting hand he could ever get, against each dealer up card.  If you wanted to know how to play a Pair of 8’s vs. the Dealers face, now, in a few simple clicks, you could see the best way to play.  Even we didn’t know, at the time of development, the importance of our hard work.   

Something equally bigger than card counting came to the surface.  The Basic Play Charts many casinos were handing out by the millions, were riddled with mathematically incorrect decisions.  This meant the casinos were either fraudulent or negligent.  If they knew these were wrong, it was a clear case of fraud, misleading their very own customers.  If they didn’t know, being from a rich mathematically-based industry, don’t you think they should have?  Negligence. 

What The Playing 21 Program Found    

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